2026-08-26 · open

The same four rails as every run since 08-20, unchanged and structural, and every price, level and calendar trigger swept clear. Nothing new came out of the sell side or Seeking Alpha on either name. The finding this run is not in the market: the runbook's 11x Dec-28 300/400 call tranche exists in the book as eleven long 300 calls against a single short 400 call, so the 90%-of-width trigger that this check reports every day has been measuring a spread that mostly is not there.

What to do

Still over, unchanged

Why each one reads the way it does

Everything else clear

All 14 triggers swept, with today's number
price triggernowfires atdistance
GOOGL · tranche 3 confirm$344.75≥ $3604.4% up
GOOGL · tranche 2 weakness$344.75≤ $3178.1% down
GOOGL · Rule 8 crash powder$344.75≤ $26024.6% down
GOOGL · Rule 6 close every short put$344.75≥ $43425.9% up
MU · roll the collar$939.39≥ $1,25033.1% up
level triggernowfires atdistance
Dec-28 30-delta put IV36.1%> 43%+6.9 pt
Dec-28 30-delta put IV36.1%> 50%+13.9 pt
excess liquidity / NLV75.0%< 40%-35.0 pt
widest long call spread42.3% of width (Dec-28 300/400, but see plumbing - only 1 of 11 is actually spread)>= 90% of width+47.7 pt
Dec-28 340P extrinsic$57.73< $5far (put is OTM, spot $344.75 above the $340 strike)
NLV drawdown, 1 week+0.9% against the 08-20 logged NLV-8% in a weekfar
calendardateaway
wash-sale window opens for the 6/05 loss lots2026-09-1722d
deploy the $100k reserve at market regardless2026-10-2964d
GOOG lots vest long-term, add collar put leg 92027-03-13199d
Spot prices
lastday
GOOG$341.05-0.7%
GOOGL$344.75-0.6%
MU$939.39+0.7%
META$573.74+0.6%
NVDA$211.75-0.6%
RDDT$164.34+1.2%
AMZN$260.35-0.3%
INTC$87.06-0.5%
VOO$703.57-0.1%
BRK B$505.08+0.2%
EQT$54.57+1.1%
TSLA$343.88-1.8%
DIS$111.23-0.0%

Cost of compute

Every rate, per chip and per source

Dollars per GPU-hour. Vast is a marketplace floor and runs well below contract rates, which is what the cloud and hyperscaler columns are there to show. Bold rows are current generation.

vastcloudhyperakashn
H100 SXM$2.67$4.24$7.89$2.7138
H100 NVL$2.67---7 thin
H200$4.00$4.50$10.44$4.4525
B200$5.85$7.88$15.18-40
A100 SXM4$0.83$2.00$3.67$1.7141
A100 PCIE$0.87---28
L40S$0.53---17
RTX 4090$0.38---56
RTX 5090$0.44---64

H100 by source. SFCompute clearing price $1.88. Composite is $2.82 as of 2026-04 (PRE-SIGNAL tightening; latest print as of 2026-08-18).

sourcenow24h avgday
vast median$2.67$2.57+14.6%
sfcompute$1.88$1.92-5.1%
getdeploying$4.24-+1.2%
akash$2.71$2.71+0.0%

The check itself

Rails that could not be evaluated
Where the numbers came from